{"id":134061,"date":"2021-06-18T19:15:38","date_gmt":"2021-06-18T19:15:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/2021\/06\/18\/249881\/"},"modified":"2024-12-15T13:44:45","modified_gmt":"2024-12-15T13:44:45","slug":"fitch-affirms-ardshinbank-at-b-outlook-negative","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/2021\/06\/18\/134061\/","title":{"rendered":"Fitch Affirms Ardshinbank at &#8216;B+&#8217;, Outlook Negative"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>YEREVAN, June 18, \/ARKA\/. <\/strong>Fitch Ratings has affirmed Armenia&#8217;s Ardshinbank CJSC&#8217;s (Ardshin) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at &#8216;B+&#8217; with a Negative Outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It said Ardshin&#8217;s IDRs and senior debt rating reflect the bank&#8217;s intrinsic strength, as captured by its Viability Rating (VR) of &#8216;b+&#8217;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The VR is significantly influenced by Fitch&#8217;s assessment of the potentially cyclical operating environment in Armenia and resulting credit risks from the highly-dollarised and concentrated local economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Negative Outlook on the Long-Term IDR reflects residual downside risks to the bank&#8217;s credit profile from the lag effect from the economic downturn, keeping asset quality and solvency metrics under pressure in the near term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Armenian economy has been significantly affected by the coronavirus pandemic and the military conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in late 2020, leading to a real GDP contraction of 7.6% in 2020 (vs. the &#8216;B&#8217; median contraction of 4.2%). Fitch expects the economy to recover moderately by 3.2% in 2021 and 4.0% in 2022, which should improve prospects for banks&#8217; credit growth and revenues. At the same time, we believe that the downturn has not yet been fully captured by banks&#8217; asset quality metrics reported in 2020-1Q21 and problem loan recognition will continue in 2021 and potentially in 2022. Some risk aversion and continuing business uncertainty still weigh on growth appetite, further constraining potential for near-term profitability improvements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Credit risk at Ardshin mainly stems from its loan book, which accounted for 62% of total assets at end-1Q21. Impaired loans (Stage 3 and purchased or originated credit impaired under IFRS 9) were a moderate 7.6% of gross loans at end-1Q21, up from 6.0% at end-2019, largely driven by unsecured retail lending segment (13% of end-1Q21 loans).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Coverage of impaired loans by total loan loss allowances (LLAs) was only modest at 42% as management relies on collateral to a large extent. However, in Fitch&#8217;s view, realisation of collateral could be challenging and prolonged, so additional provisioning could be required if prevailing conditions persist. Furthermore, Stage 2 exposures were equal to 7% of loans at end-1Q21 and were by 10% covered by specific LLAs. -0-<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fitch Ratings has affirmed Armenia&#8217;s Ardshinbank CJSC&#8217;s (Ardshin) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at &#8216;B+&#8217; with a Negative Outlook<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":193609,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","tstyn_error":""},"categories":[9214,9216],"tags":[15717,15645],"class_list":{"0":"post-134061","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-banks-en-en","8":"category-news","9":"tag-ardshinbank-2","10":"tag-fitch-2"},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/134061","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=134061"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/134061\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/193609"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=134061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=134061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=134061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}