{"id":272262,"date":"2026-04-18T14:09:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T10:09:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/?p=272262"},"modified":"2026-04-18T14:09:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T10:09:15","slug":"adb-expects-inflation-in-armenia-to-accelerate-to-3-8-in-2026-despite-slower-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/2026\/04\/18\/272262\/","title":{"rendered":"ADB expects inflation in Armenia to accelerate to 3.8% in 2026, despite slower growth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>YEREVAN, April 18. \/ARKA\/. <\/strong>The Asian Development Bank (ADB) expects inflation in Armenia to accelerate in 2026, despite slower growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;This reflects the impact of higher global energy prices and transport costs related to the conflict in the Middle East. Average inflation is projected to increase to 3.8% in 2026 before moderating to 3.2% in 2027 as pressures gradually ease,&#8221; according to the ADB Asian Development <a href=\"https:\/\/www.adb.org\/sites\/default\/files\/publication\/1135881\/ado-april-2026.pdf\" title=\"\">Outlook<\/a> (April 2026).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bank&#8217;s analysts expect monetary policy to remain cautious while continuing to support growth, and forecast monthly inflation to approach the upper bound of the central bank&#8217;s target range of 3.0% \u00b11.0 percentage points. by the end of 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fiscal policy in 2026 will be more accommodative, and continued improvements in tax administration and legislation will support total revenues, projected at 25.8% of GDP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Expenditures are expected to reach the equivalent of 30.3% of GDP in 2026, with priority given to social sectors and capital expenditures, the latter projected at around 5.8% of GDP,&#8221; the document states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to Armstat, 12-month inflation in the Armenian consumer market in March of this year was 4.5%. The 2026 state budget of Armenia projects inflation at 3% (\u00b11%). According to the Central Bank&#8217;s monetary policy report for the first quarter of this year, inflation in Armenia is expected to be 4.4-3.3% by the end of 2026, depending on scenario (A-B), the forecast for 2027 is 3.5-3.1%, and for 2028 &#8211; 3.2-3.1%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Asian Development Bank (ADB) expects inflation in Armenia to accelerate in 2026, despite slower growth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":261804,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","tstyn_error":""},"categories":[12139,9216],"tags":[12293,12225],"class_list":["post-272262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy-en","category-news","tag-adb","tag-inflation"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.8 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Asian Development Bank (ADB) expects inflation in Armenia to accelerate in 2026, despite slower growth.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"engeditor\"\/>\n\t<meta name=\"google-site-verification\" content=\"l8sdBd3STQ6A37MF5AO_21FEwNPHg9tRpooOo3Wx_eQ\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"keywords\" content=\"adb,inflation\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/2026\/04\/18\/272262\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 4.9.8\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"ADB expects inflation in Armenia to accelerate to 3.8% in 2026, despite slower growth - 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