{"id":42152,"date":"2012-10-08T16:35:48","date_gmt":"2012-10-08T16:35:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/2012\/10\/08\/236515\/"},"modified":"2024-12-15T12:59:52","modified_gmt":"2024-12-15T12:59:52","slug":"adb-revises-its-forecast-for-armenias-gdp-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/2012\/10\/08\/42152\/","title":{"rendered":"ADB revises its forecast for Armenia\u2019s GDP growth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>YEREVAN, October 8. \/ ARKA \/<\/strong>. The Asian Development Bank has revised upward its GDP growth forecast for Armenia in 2012 from the previous 3.8% to 4.3%, according to its updated Asian Development Outlook.<\/p>\n<p>During an extraordinary Cabinet meeting June 18, Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan said the government should work to secure a 7% GDP expansion this year, up from the government-projected 4.2 percent. In 2011 Armenia\u2019s economic expansion was 4.6 percent.<br \/>\nAccording to the updated Asian Development Outlook report, the revision of Armenia\u2019s forecast was prompted by higher than expected economic growth in the first quarter.<\/p>\n<p>The report also says that due to favorable trends in agriculture, industry, exports and consumption, the 2013 forecast has been raised from 4.2% to 4.5%. &#8220;This suggests that the growth will not be slowed down because of weakening prospects for the European economy, which accounts for 60% of Armenia\u2019s exports, and the possible influence of the situation in the euro area on\u00a0 the weakening of the Russian economy, which accounts for 80% of incoming private transfers to Armenia&#8221;, the report says.<\/p>\n<p>The report also says the average inflation rate fell to 2.2% in the first half of 2012, accompanied by\u00a0\u00a0 agricultural recovery, slowing growth in food prices and supplies, as well as appropriate monetary policy.<br \/>\nHowever, the ADB forecast for inflation has not changed and remains at 4.1% for 2012 and 4.5% for 2013, as &#8220;inflationary pressures may return because of depreciation of the Armenian dram against the U.S. and the possible impact of the drought on the world wheat market.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The ADB also points out reduction of the budget deficit to 2.8% of GDP in 2011 from 5% in 2010, as well as bringing down the current account deficit to 10.9% of GDP in 2011 from 14.8% in 2010 due to faster growth in exports than imports.<\/p>\n<p>The report says the current account deficit is likely to drop further to 10.2% of GDP in 2012 and to 9.8% &#8211; in 2013 in anticipation of future higher exports, an increase in remittances, as well as the improvement of the business environment. -0-<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Asian Development Bank has revised upward its GDP growth forecast for Armenia in 2012 from<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","tstyn_error":""},"categories":[12139,9216],"tags":[12293,15837,12344,15419,338],"class_list":{"0":"post-42152","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-economy-en","7":"category-news","8":"tag-adb","9":"tag-armenia-2","11":"tag-growth-2","12":"tag-338"},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42152"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42152\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armbanks.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}