Devaluation of Armenian dram was expected, economists say

YEREVAN, December 17. /ARKA/. The devaluation of the Armenian currency, the dram, was expected as a natural reaction to the changes taking place in the country, according to Armenian economists.

One of them, Vahagn Khachatryan, told a press conference on Thursday that the economic programs drawn up for the next three years before the war in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone, have lost their relevance.

In his words, a U-turn took place in Armenia and the country that was before September 27 (the day the war began in Artsakh ) does not exist any longer.

The head of the Center for Innovative and Institutional Research Atom Margaryan called the devaluation a “natural reaction” and stressed that large players are able to destabilize the financial market of Armenia in a short time.

“Objectively speaking, the dram is devaluating due to external impulses along with large domestic spending and serious pressure on external reserves. Also, one should not forget what dynamics the external debt has and what changes in this direction await us in the next few years,’ he said, adding that the public debt now seems incomparably expensive and risky.

According to him, these changes are a sign that Armenia has problems in its economic model and in the way new approaches to economic policy are being shaped. Margaryan also highlighted the political situation in the country as an important aspect.

“It is no secret that the owners of large capital are striving for power today. I want to say openly and clearly: in this regard, risks of destabilizing markets are also possible. Both the government and the Central Bank should be attentive in this issue and not allow influence,” he said.

Earlier, the Chairman of the Central Bank  Martin Galstyan pointed to the absence of market grounds for devaluation of the dram, saying that Armenian households and business suffered losses in the amount of 5-7 billion drams on attempts to balance on the dram’s exchange rate.

The average market exchange rate of the US dollar against the Armenian dram dropped by 0.19 drams on December 16 from the previous day to 524.9 drams.  The exchange rate  overcame the psychological barrier of 500 drams on November 19, when one USD was trading at 500.82 drams.  ($1 – 518.77 drams). –0–

spot_img

POPULAR

Armenian banks’ loan portfolio exceeded AMD 8.56 trillion in the second quarter, representing a 23.56% year-on-year increase

The total loan portfolio of Armenian banks as of June 30, 2026, exceeded AMD 8.56 trillion, representing a 23.56% increase compared to June 30, 2025, and a 6.8% increase compared to March 31, 2026.

Armbanks Weekly Digest: Key Events in the Armenian Financial Market (July 20–26)

Armenia's financial agenda last week was determined by the banking sector's first-half results, changes in the money transfer sector, and exchange rate dynamics.

Euro rose against the Armenian dram, while the dollar and ruble continued to decline: Central Bank

The average market exchange rate for the US dollar against the Armenian dram, formed on the Armenian foreign exchange market, fell by 0.34 points on July 29, 2026, compared to July 28, to 366.2 drams.

Armenian commercial banks transferred 116.2 billion drams to the state budget for January-June 2026

All 17 operating commercial banks in Armenia were included in the list of the country's 1,000 largest taxpayers for the first half of 2026, according to data from the State Revenue Committee of the Republic of Armenia.

World Bank does not see significant risks in Armenia’s public debt rising to 50% of GDP

Armenia's public debt could increase to approximately 50% of GDP by the end of 2026, but the World Bank does not view this level as a significant threat to the country's macroeconomic stability, said Armine Manukyan, Senior Economist at the World Bank.

LATEST NEWS

spot_imgspot_imgspot_img